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Value Gold ETF

  • Value Gold ETF (the “Fund”) is a fund listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (“SEHK”), which aims to provide investment results that closely correspond to the performance of the London Bullion Market Association Gold Price.
  • The Fund only invests in bullion and may experience greater volatility due to single economic, market or political occurrences.
  • The Fund has adopted a multi counter and units are traded in HKD, RMB and USD on SEHK. The nature of the multi-counter model may make investment in the units riskier than in single counter units or shares of an SEHK listed issuer. Investors without RMB or USD accounts may buy and sell HKD traded units only.
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  • 資金流入黃金ETF 續支撐金價造好 (Chinese only)

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資金流入黃金ETF 續支撐金價造好 (Chinese only)

歐美多國通脹高企兼沒有放緩跡象,加息已成為全球央行的共識。傳統上,加息一向不利黃金資產表現,但市場已經消化美國聯儲局最快今年五月加息的因素,全球黃金ETF在去年11月開始錄得淨流入,預期投資者在規避通脹的前提下,資金仍會湧入黃金相關產品避險。

據去年12月初世界黃金協會報道指,全球黃金ETF在11月淨流入高達13.6噸,折合大約8.38億美元,為7月以來首次錄得淨流入,主要是北美和歐洲基金的流入量遠超亞洲基金的流出量。而整體全球黃金ETF總持倉量已從去年的最低點反彈至3578噸,相信是由於歐美持續出現高通脹,導致資金繼續流入大型黃金ETF避險。

除了大型ETF增持黃金之外,央行亦繼續增持黃金儲備。根據彭博12月1日報道,由於歐元區的通脹率遠超於歐洲央行的目標,愛爾蘭中央銀行一直在增加黃金儲備。報道指愛爾蘭央行在最近幾個月累積購買了2噸黃金,結束長達12年黃金持倉量不變的局面。雖然愛爾蘭央行沒有說明增加黃金儲備的原因,但其央行行長Gabriel Makhlouf發表警告說,政策制定者不能對通脹感到自滿。

通脹高企刺激央行持續掃黃金

根據世界黃金協會數據顯示,央行對增持黃金的意欲大增,全球央行的黃金儲備量在去年上半年急增333.2噸,較過去五年平均水平高出39%。央行和大型ETF持續增持黃金,相信是受通脹不斷升溫及地緣政治持續惡化所帶動。事實上,美國在12月23日公布的11月核心PCE物價指數同比急升4.7%,並創下1989年3月以來最大升幅;11月份CPI的按年漲幅達6.8%,創近40年以來最大升幅,反映美國通脹問題持續惡化。黃金一向被視為抗通脹的投資工具,隨著美國以至環球各地通脹持續升溫,相信各國央行會繼續吸納黃金儲備,亦預期各地資金持續流入黃金ETF。

另一方面,環球局勢持續緊張,黃金ETF亦成為資金的避風港。根據12月24日路透社報道,俄羅斯總統普京表示,為了避免與烏克蘭和西方國家發生衝突,故要求美國及其盟友對俄羅斯的安全保障作出立即回應。美俄雙方暫定在1月10日再次舉行安全峰會,務求化解今次俄羅斯和烏克蘭的軍事危機。

但根據美國海軍學會新聞網站在12月28日報道,美國國防部長奧斯汀指示位於地中海的航空母艦杜魯門號戰鬥群,無需前往中東而繼續部署在地中海,美國國防部官員更透露,有關安排是重申美國對歐盟地區安全的承諾。在各不讓步下,金融市場普遍對今次美俄談判不存在任何期望。故在抗通脹及避險情緒提振的大前提下,金價近期表現持續反覆向上,相信在這兩大利好因素有力支撐下,2022年金價可繼續睇高一線。

 

本文提供之意見純屬盛寶資產管理香港有限公司之觀點,會因市場及其他情況而改變。以上資料並不構成任何投資建議,亦不應視作投資決策之依據。所有資料是搜集自被認為是可靠的來源,但惠理不保證資料的準確性。本文包含之部分陳述可能被視為前瞻性陳述,此等陳述不保證任何將來表現,實際情況或發展可能與該等陳述有重大落差。刊發人:盛寶資產管理香港有限公司

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